tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1456 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AS 1456 · SEA → LAS

departs 4:19 PM PT · arrives 6:54 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
48% chance · ±3 pts +11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LAS?

  1. On time or early
    51%
  2. 15–30 min late
    17%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    14%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    13%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.