Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1494 LANDED 1:13 PM PT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

AS 1494 · SEA → PSP

took off 11:06 AM PT · landed 1:13 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from SEA are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at SEA that day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at PSP that day

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.03 in

PSP (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1494 · SEA → PSP

Odds over time