Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1521SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 1521 · PDX → FAI
departs 9:59 PM PT · arrives 12:55 AM AKT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at FAI more than 15 minutes late?
18%chance · ±0 pts+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to FAI?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.