Schedule: a typical summer Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1603SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1603 · LAX → SFO
departs 7:15 AM PT · arrives 8:39 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±0 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.