Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 215 LANDED 1:53 PM PT, ~24 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

AS 215 · BOS → SEA

took off 11:31 AM ET · landed 1:53 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from BOS are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at SEA that day

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.01 in

SEA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 215 · BOS → SEA

Odds over time