Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 306 IN THE AIR (OFF 10:41 PM ET, ETA 1:20 AM PT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

AS 306 · BOS → SEA

took off 10:41 PM ET · expected to land 1:20 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.03 in

SEA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 306 · BOS → SEA

Odds over time