Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 352 LANDED 3:11 PM CT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

AS 352 · SEA → AUS

took off 9:33 AM PT · landed 3:11 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at SEA that day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.03 in

AUS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 352 · SEA → AUS

Odds over time