Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 508 LANDED 10:58 PM PT, ~23 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

AS 508 · SNA → PDX

took off 8:52 PM PT · landed 10:58 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into PDX at that hour are often late

↓ This flight has been late 7% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 508 · SNA → PDX

Odds over time