Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 554 LANDED 10:31 PM MT, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

AS 554 · HNL → SLC

took off 12:38 PM HT · landed 10:31 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from HNL are often late

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

SLC (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 554 · HNL → SLC

Odds over time