AS 61 · JNU → YAK

took off 9:30 AM AKDT · landed 10:09 AM AKDT (scheduled 9:35 AM AKDT → 10:30 AM AKDT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at YAK more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to YAK?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at JNU

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Arrivals into YAK at that hour are usually not late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

JNU (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.18 in

YAK (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 61 · JNU → YAK

Odds over time

How late did it get to YAK?