Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 683SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 683 · SMF → SEA
departs 5:08 PM PT · arrives 7:07 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
41%chance · ±2 pts+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.