Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 7004 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

AS 7004 · SEA → KTN

departs 2:48 PM PT · arrives 3:29 PM AKDT

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at KTN more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at KTN that day

↑ Other factors

↑ 2pm departures from SEA are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ KTN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.03 in

KTN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.57 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7004 · SEA → KTN

Odds over time