Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 757 LANDED 1:22 PM PT, ~22 MIN LATE

Tuesday, September 29 Today

AS 757 · PDX → LAS

took off 11:38 AM PT · landed 1:22 PM PT (scheduled 10:45 AM PT → 1:11 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ PDX usually runs smoothly

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 757 · PDX → LAS

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAS?