Schedule: a typical summer Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 813 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, September 29

AS 813 · PDX → HNL

departs 10:30 AM PT · arrives 1:28 PM HT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from PDX are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ PDX usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 813 · PDX → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?