AS 833 · KOA → PDX

took off 12:33 PM HT · landed 8:46 PM PT (scheduled 12:24 PM HT → 9:11 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PDX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PDX at that hour are often late

↑ 12pm departures from KOA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

Weather at each end

KOA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 833 · KOA → PDX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PDX?