Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 880 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

AS 880 · HNL → PDX

departs 9:39 PM HT · arrives 6:11 AM PT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into PDX at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

PDX (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 880 · HNL → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?