B6 150 · SAV → BOS

took off 4:13 PM ET · expected to land 6:10 PM ET (scheduled 3:54 PM ET → 6:34 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi forecast at BOS that day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ SAV usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SAV (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 150 · SAV → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?