B6 1814 · ORF → BOS

departs 7:20 PM ET · arrives 9:14 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi forecast at BOS that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORF

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORF (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1814 · ORF → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?