Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 493
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday
B6 493 · BOS → DEN
departs 6:30 AM ET · arrives 9:03 AM MT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 28%
Thu 10/1 23%
Fri 10/2 17%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
BOS is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from BOS are usually not late
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 1.5 mi
Precip 0.03 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.