Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 791 LANDED 2:02 PM ET, ~6 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

B6 791 · BOS → TPA

took off 11:24 AM ET · landed 2:02 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↑ TPA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.03 in

TPA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 791 · BOS → TPA

Odds over time