B6 814 · FLL → HPN

took off 7:05 AM ET · landed 9:25 AM ET (scheduled 6:55 AM ET → 9:57 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to HPN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 2.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip2.21 in

HPN (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 814 · FLL → HPN

Odds over time

How late did it get to HPN?