Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1018 LANDED 4:41 PM ET, ~26 MIN EARLY

Tuesday, September 29 Today

DL 1018 · FLL → RDU

took off 3:06 PM ET · landed 4:41 PM ET (scheduled 3:00 PM ET → 5:12 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RDU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 2.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ 3pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ Arrivals into RDU at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip2.19 in

RDU (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1018 · FLL → RDU

Odds over time

How late did it get to RDU?