DL 1202 · SLC → SAN

took off 10:55 PM MT · landed 11:20 PM PT (scheduled 10:55 PM MT → 11:50 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to SAN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SLC is busy at that time

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1202 · SLC → SAN

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAN?