Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1471 IN THE AIR (OFF 4:50 PM CT, ETA 5:27 PM PT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

DL 1471 · SAT → LAX

took off 4:50 PM CT · expected to land 5:27 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 11% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1471 · SAT → LAX

Odds over time