DL 1797 · SMF → SLC

took off 1:37 PM PT · landed 3:55 PM MT (scheduled 1:20 PM PT → 4:04 PM MT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SLC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from SMF are often late

↑ SMF is busy at that time

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SMF (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1797 · SMF → SLC

Odds over time

How late did it get to SLC?