DL 2154 · LAX → MSY

took off 3:56 PM PT · landed 9:06 PM CT (scheduled 4:00 PM PT → 9:51 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MSY?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MSY at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from LAX are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSY (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2154 · LAX → MSY

Odds over time

How late did it get to MSY?