Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 23 LANDED 11:39 AM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

DL 23 · MUC → DTW

took off 9:00 AM CEST · landed 11:39 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 19h after departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MUC is busy at that time

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MUC

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

MUC (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DTW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 23 · MUC → DTW

Odds over time