Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2973 LANDED 11:40 AM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

DL 2973 · ATL → HPN

took off 9:41 AM ET · landed 11:40 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ Other factors

↑ 9am departures from ATL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HPN (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2973 · ATL → HPN

Odds over time