DL 338 · SEA → FLL

took off 1:54 PM PT · expected to land 10:15 PM ET (scheduled 1:00 PM PT → 9:52 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

93% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FLL?

LIVE

On time or early
7%
15–30 min late
44%
30 min–1 hour late
49%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 2.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.03 in

FLL (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip2.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 338 · SEA → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?