DL 402 · SLC → RDU

departs 5:47 PM MT · arrives 11:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SLC is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into RDU at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 402 · SLC → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?