DL 403 · JFK → SNA

took off 8:40 AM ET · landed 11:02 AM PT (scheduled 7:35 AM ET → 10:28 AM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SNA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SNA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 403 · JFK → SNA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SNA?