Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 528 IN THE AIR (OFF 11:10 AM PT, ETA 6:00 PM ET)

Tuesday, September 29 Today

DL 528 · LAX → ATL

took off 11:10 AM PT · expected to land 6:00 PM ET (scheduled 11:00 AM PT → 6:37 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ 11am departures from LAX are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 528 · LAX → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?