Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 747 LANDED 7:14 PM PT, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

DL 747 · JFK → LAX

took off 4:56 PM ET · landed 7:14 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from JFK are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 747 · JFK → LAX

Odds over time