Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 9930 LANDED 12:26 AM ET, ~48 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

DL 9930 · JFK → LGA

took off 12:13 AM ET · landed 12:26 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 9930 · JFK → LGA

Odds over time