Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1183
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday
F9 1183 · LAS → LAX
departs 6:45 PM PT · arrives 8:03 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 33%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±1 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at LAS that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
6pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 27 kt
Ceiling 4,700 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.08 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.