Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2016
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
F9 2016 · LAS → DEN
departs 12:59 AM PT · arrives 3:48 AM MT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 17h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 22%
Thu 10/1 30%
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at LAS that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 27 kt
Ceiling 4,700 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.08 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.