F9 2174 · ATL → FLL

departs 10:42 PM ET · arrives 12:42 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±4 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ 10pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip2.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 2174 · ATL → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?