Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2443
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29
F9 2443 · PNS → DEN
departs 7:26 PM CT · arrives 9:49 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 29%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 17%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PNS
Weather at each end
PNS (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 9,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.