Schedule: a typical summer Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2609
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29
F9 2609 · PHL → FLL
departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 8:53 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 20%
Mon 10/5 20%
Fri 10/9 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 2.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 2.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.