Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3450
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
F9 3450 · LAS → ELP
departs 4:22 PM PT · arrives 7:19 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 22%
Thu 10/1 26%
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±5 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at ELP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ELP?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at LAS that day
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ELP that day
↑
4pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
ELP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.09 in
ELP (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.39 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.