Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4966
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
F9 4966 · LAS → CLE
departs 12:18 AM PT · arrives 7:30 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 19h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 25%
Thu 10/1 25%
Fri 10/2 28%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 30%
Tue 10/6 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at LAS that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.08 in
CLE (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.