Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3213 LANDED 11:48 AM MT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

G4 3213 · IWA → PVU

took off 7:39 PM MSK · landed 11:48 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at PVU more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into PVU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IWA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

PVU (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3213 · IWA → PVU

Odds over time