Schedule: a typical summer Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3643
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29
G4 3643 · BGR → PIE
departs 2:35 PM ET · arrives 6:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave BGR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at BGR that day
↑
Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BGR (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.22 in
PIE (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.