Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3362 LANDED 4:43 PM ET, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

MQ 3362 · ORD → AVP

took off 2:12 PM CT · landed 4:43 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at AVP more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ AVP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

AVP (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3362 · ORD → AVP

Odds over time