Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3457 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:49 PM CT, ETA 8:06 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

MQ 3457 · FAR → DFW

took off 5:49 PM CT · expected to land 8:06 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±3 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FAR (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.42 in

DFW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3457 · FAR → DFW

Odds over time