Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3510 IN THE AIR (OFF 3:47 PM CT, ETA 4:25 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

MQ 3510 · ORD → LSE

took off 3:47 PM CT · expected to land 4:25 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LSE more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±1 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at LSE that day

↑ Other factors

↑ 3pm departures from ORD are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ORD that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

LSE (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3510 · ORD → LSE

Odds over time