Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3736 LANDED 11:41 PM CT, ~21 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

MQ 3736 · ORD → GRB

took off 11:08 PM CT · landed 11:41 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at GRB more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 11pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ GRB usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

GRB (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3736 · ORD → GRB

Odds over time