Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3910 LANDED 3:14 PM CT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

MQ 3910 · DFW → LRD

took off 2:15 PM CT · landed 3:14 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at LRD more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LRD (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3910 · DFW → LRD

Odds over time