Schedule: a typical summer Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5453 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, September 29

OH 5453 · DFW → TYS

departs 6:34 PM CT · arrives 9:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to TYS?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into TYS at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TYS (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5453 · DFW → TYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYS?