Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3015 LANDED 2:44 PM PT, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

OO 3015 · SEA → ACV

took off 1:25 PM PT · landed 2:44 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ACV more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.03 in

ACV (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3015 · SEA → ACV

Odds over time